08 - Roadmap & Phasing
Vigía Incubation Framework (VIF)
National Public–Private Incubation Network Guide - Version 1.0
1. Introduction
The Roadmap & Phasing section defines how the Vigía Incubation Framework (VIF) is deployed over time.
Where Sections 03–07 define what the system is and how it functions, this section defines:
- when each component is introduced,
- in what order,
- under what constraints,
- with which capabilities, and
- with which dependencies across the system.
A national incubation network must be deployed progressively, not all at once.
This ensures:
- institutional maturity grows predictably (IMM-P®),
- programs launch only when evidence standards are in place (MCF 2.1),
- sector priorities evolve with the future (Vigía Futura),
- governance and funding structures stabilize before scaling,
- risk is minimized during early implementation.
2. How to Read This Section
This section provides:
- phased national deployment strategy,
- milestone structure,
- dependencies across governance, funding, and KPIs,
- sequencing logic,
- risk and mitigation strategies,
- foresight-driven review cycles.
Sections that depend on this one:
- Section 03 - System Architecture
- Section 04 - Operating Model
- Section 05 - Funding Model
- Section 07 - KPIs & Scorecard
- Section 10 - Templates & Tools
3. Roadmap Principles
The roadmap follows five core principles:
3.1 Maturity-Based Progression (IMM-P®)
Institutions evolve from lower capability levels to higher ones through structured growth.
3.2 Evidence-Driven (MCF 2.1)
Evidence standards dictate when programs can proceed.
3.3 Foresight-Aligned (Vigía Futura)
Sector priorities and national innovation themes evolve based on emerging signals.
3.4 Public–Private Symmetry
All nodes - public or private - advance through the same phases.
3.5 Sustainability & Long-Term Governance
Roadmap phases ensure the system can survive political cycles and funding volatility.
4. Roadmap Architecture Diagram
flowchart TD
A(Phase 1 - Foundation) --> B(Phase 2 - Scaling)
B --> C(Phase 3 - Consolidation)
C --> D(Annual Review · Vigía Futura · KPI Updates)
D --> B
This loop reflects a continuous evolution cycle, rather than a one-time deployment.
5. Phase Structure Overview
The roadmap is organized into three phases:
-
Phase 1 - Foundation (Months 0–12)
Build structures, governance, KPIs, and digital systems. -
Phase 2 - Scaling (Months 12–36)
Accelerate program delivery, expand nodes, increase investment activity. -
Phase 3 - Consolidation (Months 36–60)
Achieve national coverage, refine programs, and stabilize the model.
Each phase includes:
- objectives,
- milestones,
- risks,
- dependencies, and
- KPIs.
6. Detailed Roadmap
6.1 Phase 1 - Foundation (0–12 Months)
Objective
Establish the structural and operational foundations of VIF.
Milestones
- Formal creation of:
- National Steering Council (NSC)
- Technical Operating Unit (TOU)
- Investment Committee (IC)
- National Innovation Fund (NIF) established
- Digital evidence platform operational
- First cohort of incubator nodes accredited
- National KPIs defined (Section 07)
- Initial sector priorities defined (Vigía Futura)
- Baseline IMM-P® maturity assessments completed
Dependencies
- Governance definitions from Section 03
- Operating model modules from Section 04
- Funding mechanisms from Section 05
- KPI definitions from Section 07
KPIs
- % of governance bodies operational
- % of nodes accredited
- Digital system uptime
- Evidence submission compliance
- Completion rate of IMM-P® baseline assessments
Risks & Mitigation
| Risk | Mitigation |
|---|---|
| Political delays | Early cross-ministry alignment |
| Insufficient node maturity | Capability-building bootcamps |
| Digital system slippage | Phased deployment + testing |
| Funding bottlenecks | Multi-year budgeting + donor alignment |
6.2 Phase 2 - Scaling (12–36 Months)
Objective
Expand programs, increase startup throughput, and strengthen investment activity.
Milestones
- Expansion of incubator nodes (regional & sectoral)
- First national batches of startups graduated
- Tranche-based investments fully operational
- National Dashboard launched
- Second cycle of sector priorities via Vigía Futura
- Improvement in IMM-P® maturity across nodes
- Co-investment mechanisms activated
Dependencies
- Successful completion of Phase 1
- Digital systems and KPI flow operational
- Working IC and TOU structures
KPIs
- Startup graduation rate
- Tranche approval turnaround time
- Node performance consistency
- Co-investment participation rate
- Maturity progression (IMM-P®)
Risks & Mitigation
| Risk | Mitigation |
|---|---|
| Uneven node performance | Standardized program audits |
| Slow investment processes | IC capacity reinforcement |
| Talent shortages | Regional training partnerships |
| Sector misalignment | Vigía Futura horizon review |
6.3 Phase 3 - Consolidation (36–60 Months)
Objective
Stabilize the system, optimize programs, and establish international positioning.
Milestones
- National coverage achieved
- Specialized sector tracks refined
- Alumni programs established
- National innovation impact report published
- International partnerships formalized
- Return on investment mechanisms functioning
- Fully functional national foresight loop
Dependencies
- Fully operational Phase 2
- Evidence and KPI compliance stabilized
- Strong TOU operational maturity
KPIs
- National coverage index
- Economic impact metrics
- Internationalization rate
- Return-on-investment indicators
- Governance stability metrics
Risks & Mitigation
| Risk | Mitigation |
|---|---|
| Funding volatility | Reinvestment loop + multi-year budgeting |
| Loss of political support | Transparent reporting + public dashboards |
| Sector stagnation | Annual foresight cycle updates |
| Over-complexity | Simplification of processes |
7. Annual Review & Foresight Cycle
At the end of each year:
- KPI results are analyzed (Section 07)
- Institutional maturity updates occur (IMM-P®)
- Sector priorities are refreshed (Vigía Futura)
- Investment instruments are adjusted
- Governance and processes are refined
This ensures VIF remains:
- future-aligned,
- evidence-driven,
- investment-ready, and
- resilient across government cycles.
8. Five-Year National Impact Targets
By the end of Year 5, typical national goals include:
- ≥ 60% node maturity improvement (IMM-P®)
- ≥ 70% evidence compliance (MCF 2.1)
- ≥ 50+ active incubator nodes
- ≥ 500–1000 supported startups
- ≥ 20–30% securing follow-on funding
- ≥ 10–15% generating exports
- Improved public value indicators (sector-specific)
- Established diaspora investment channels
These targets serve as strategic orientation guidelines.
9. Reference Snapshot
Primary Doulab frameworks informing the Roadmap:
- MicroCanvas® Framework 2.1 - https://www.themicrocanvas.com
- Innovation Maturity Model Program (IMM-P®) - https://www.doulab.net/services/innovation-maturity
- Vigía Futura - https://www.doulab.net/vigia-futura
External influences (non-primary):
- OECD Public Governance Principles
- OECD Strategic Foresight Toolkit
- WIPO Global Innovation Index
- World Bank GovTech Maturity Index
Full bibliography in 11-references.md.
10. Licensing
Vigia Incubation Framework © 2025 by Luis A. Santiago is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 
See: LICENSE.md
MicroCanvas®, IMM-P® and VIF are proprietary methodologies of Doulab.